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Saturday, July 26, 2008

Minimum description length

The concept of minimizing description length as a practical method of carrying out model comparison in the light of data was pioneered by Wallace and Boulton. Jorma Rissanen's name is also strongly associated with this concept. The MDL community can be divided into two, according to whether the researcher views MDL as being equivalent to Bayesian model comparison, or different.

The view that MDL is an approximation to Bayesian model comparison is explained in David MacKay's Information Theory, Inference, and Learning Algorithms. (see link below) As Shannon showed, the optimal description length for data D, given assumptions H, is the `Shannon information content' log_2(1/P(D|H)). And in Bayesian inference, the likelihood of the model H (also known as the evidence for the model) is P(D|H). Thus an accurate implementatin of MDL should return precisely the evidence.

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